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Message boards :
climateprediction.net Science :
Climate change in the News
(Message 64344)
Posted 12 Aug 2021 by bozz4science Post: Highest recorded temperature of 48.8 C (119.8 F) in Europe apparently logged in Sicily (The Guardian): Reading at monitoring station in Syracuse unverified but comes amid heatwave in last few days and blazing wild fires. This heat record is one of a series of records that were set this summer around the globe. Heatwave Scorches Mediterranean in Latest Sign of Climate Change Impacts (Bloomberg): “This is the Mediterranean, so summers are hot and dry, but this is unusually intense,” said Bob Stefanski, head of applied climate services at the World Meteorological Organization. “It’s a taste of things to come.” ... The areas most severely impacted in the future might be Spain, southern Italy, Greece, the Balkans and western Turkey. Meanwhile, on Tuesday a record temperature of 48.9° C (120.2 F) was recorded in Tunis, the capital of Tunisia. Putin blames massive Siberian fires on climate change (Bellona): In a sign the Kremlin might be taking global warming more seriously, President Vladimir Putin has called the vast wildfires that have lashed Siberia this summer the work of climate change during a meeting of his cabinet last week. Arctic Permafrost Make Climate Change? (Scientific American): Global warming is setting free carbon from life buried long ago in the Arctic’s frozen soils, but its impact on the climate crisis is unclear. However, it stores around 1.5 trillion metric tons of organic carbon, twice as much as Earth’s atmosphere currently holds. New York Power Authority Employs Supercomputing for Climate Resilience (HPCWire): NYPA is working with Argonne National Laboratory in collaboration with the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) and the Columbia Center on Global Energy Policy to collectively evaluate the NYPA’s comprehensive climate risk. Argonne will use its 6.9 Linpack petaflops Theta supercomputer to conduct state-of-the-art, hyperlocal climate and infrastructure modeling to project future climate impacts on scales as small as neighborhoods. This work will allow the NYPA to understand how its operations and service areas could be impacted by flooding, winds and storms up to 50 years into the future. |
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Message boards :
Number crunching :
Computation Errors
(Message 64340)
Posted 11 Aug 2021 by bozz4science Post: Regarding the credit question, you should get credit for the finished task once the weekly script will run. I guess that it is always run on Sundays if I remember correctly. Maybe others can help with the rest |
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Message boards :
climateprediction.net Science :
Climate change in the News
(Message 64333)
Posted 11 Aug 2021 by bozz4science Post: In the end, people might have to keep moving and wandering around in pursuit of a suitable place to live if a) weather would become very unstable and result in local weather extremes that devastate entire regions that would necessitate to keep moving frequently, or b) local people/governments/nations would not welcome those climate refugees. I do hope however, that we will manage this crisis before ever moving beyond the 2.0 degree threshold and can thus limit most of these worrisome consequences. But, even with climate protection measurements implemented now at large scale (placing my hope on impulses from COP26), we will have to adapt fast to and protect against this new climate-induced weather reality. |
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Message boards :
climateprediction.net Science :
Climate change in the News
(Message 64328)
Posted 11 Aug 2021 by bozz4science Post: Climate refugees might be an unfortunate reality in the near future Jim. Many people will only go through rebuilding their home and livelihood so many times before they flee towards regions with better living conditions. Once people starve due to food shortages, I reckon that we'll also start seeing mass migrations. Let's hope COP26 will take drastic actions to mitigate the most severe consequences of global warming that is yet to come. Meanwhile, ... Chile's record-breaking drought makes climate change 'very easy' to see (Reuters): A punishing, decade-long drought in Chile has gone from bad to worse due to a scorching July, a month which typically brings midwinter weather showering the capital Santiago in rain and snow. [...] But a lack of precipitation this year has left the towering and typically snowcapped Andes above the city mostly bare, reservoir levels low and farm fields parched. Greece faces 'disaster of unprecedented proportions' as wildfires ravage the country (CNN): Greece is facing a "natural disaster of unprecedented proportions," as 586 wildfires burn in "all corners" of the country, according to Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis. [..] Sixty-three organized evacuations have taken place in the past few days, Mitsotakis said in a televised address on Monday. More than 40 killed in Algeria wildfires, prime minister says (France24): Algeria joins a string of countries to be hit by major blazes in recent weeks, including Greece, Turkey, Cyprus, Russia and the United States. President Abdelmadjid Tebboune tweeted his condolences for 25 soldiers who were killed as they rescued people in the areas of Bejaiea and Tizi Ouzou, the epicentre of the blazes. ‘Climate change is going to cost us’: How the US military is preparing for harsher environments (DefenseNews): “Climate change is going to cost us in resources and readiness,” Joe Bryan, senior climate adviser at the Pentagon, said during a July webinar. “The reality is that it already is.” [...] The Congressional Research Service found that the Department of Defense manages more than 1,700 global military installations on coastlines that could prove vulnerable to rises in sea level. |
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Message boards :
climateprediction.net Science :
Climate change in the News
(Message 64315)
Posted 10 Aug 2021 by bozz4science Post: While it is not a paradox in itself, heat has to go somewhere,I'd still argue that it might be difficult for some people to understand that climate change is not only about global warming, that global warming doesn't imply the same consequences everywhere, i.e. talking about a 1.5 degree scenario doesn't mean it's gonna get warmer by 1.5 degrees everywhere, and can highly differ on a regional level. Sadly, I do encounter many folks that still don't get these basics straight. Interestingly, that's where yesterday's IPCC assessment report improved over the last one by highlighting the implications of a globally changing climate at a regional level (albeit highly granular). See f.ex. pp. SPM-12, 21, 22 in IPCC's AR6 report (SPM: Summary for Policymakers). While you're there, shed a glance at SPM-23 that illustrates the projected occurrence of various extreme weather events! To make it even more intuitive for people and policymakers alike to grasp the potential effects of climate change, they included regional fact sheets this time. While the report incidentally was published at a time when many climate change driven events can be seen around the world, it remains to be seen whether this report can ignite the spark for a more ambitious "green" agenda at COP26... However, hope is still there that the worst of the changes to come can yet be avoided (The Guardian). |
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Message boards :
climateprediction.net Science :
Climate change in the News
(Message 64296)
Posted 9 Aug 2021 by bozz4science Post: For anyone interested to watch the live coverage of the IPCC press conference today, here are your options: - YouTube Press conference is set to start at 10 am CEST (Links taken directly from IPCC's latest tweet) |
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Message boards :
climateprediction.net Science :
Climate change in the News
(Message 64286)
Posted 8 Aug 2021 by bozz4science Post: North Korea: Thousands evacuated and homes destroyed by flooding, amid worsening food shortage (Sky News): Parts of North Hamgyong recorded more than 500mm of rain from Sunday through to Thursday. Meanwhile a serious heatwave and drought have already reduced the food supply in the country Early Hurricane Lull Ending, With New Forecast for Up to 21 Storms (Bloomberg): Last year broke the record with 30 named storms in the Atlantic, and the 2021 season has already tallied an unusually high five so far, well ahead of normal pace of a normal year This Is Why Even Scientists Underestimate Climate Change (Bloomberg): Climate science and economics are inherently conservative, and that may be a factor in Monday's highly-anticipated report from the UN-backed IPCC. Expect the IPCC to paint a sobering picture of what is to come. The steep costs of such a world are all too apparent, but tallying them is harder still. |
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Message boards :
climateprediction.net Science :
Climate change in the News
(Message 64278)
Posted 7 Aug 2021 by bozz4science Post: Climate Change Is Hitting Farmers Hard (Scientific American) as insurance claims for crop losses are soaring in the US and now threaten to take a toll on the domestic agriculture sector and American taxpayers, who subsidize the federal insurance program |
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Message boards :
climateprediction.net Science :
Climate change in the News
(Message 64272)
Posted 7 Aug 2021 by bozz4science Post: As some wild fires are still not under control in Turkey, Greece and Italy, the catastrophe increasingly turns political as the population questions the preparedness of their national emergency services and government. Especially the Erdogan administration is feeling the heat as some raise calls for new climate policies in Turkey (1 of only 6 one of six nations that has not ratified the Paris Agreement) Meanwhile, everyone is anticipating that the new IPCC report (first of four reports under its latest assessment cycle), due on Monday, will likely paint even grimmer pictures and include stark warnings along the lines "the worst is yet to come" ... |
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Message boards :
climateprediction.net Science :
Climate change in the News
(Message 64241)
Posted 1 Aug 2021 by bozz4science Post: Olympic Athletes Struggle With Tokyo’s Sweltering Heat (Bloomberg): Tokyo Games could rank as the hottest Olympics in history as Japan’s heat is taking a toll on the summer Olympics. Tokyo’s mean temperature has climbed by 2.86 degrees Celsius since 1900, more than three times as fast as the world’s average When the desert becomes flooded – Climate change in Chad (UN Humanitarian): [...] arid and desertic landscapes are prime candidates for flooding; sand and dry land do not readily absorb water during heavy rains, meaning they quickly become flooded Sink or swim: Can island states survive the climate crisis? (UN News): The 38 member states and 22 associate members that the UN has designated as Small Island Developing States or SIDS are caught in a cruel paradox: they are collectively responsible for less than one per cent of global carbon emissions, but they are suffering severely from the effects of climate change, to the extent that they could become uninhabitable SEC Weighs Making Companies Liable for Climate Disclosures (WSJ): Public companies could be required to disclose climate-change related risks to investors in regulatory filings under a proposal being formulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission Act on Climate Emergency Now to Prevent Millions of Deaths, Study Shows (Scientific American): The human toll of carbon emissions will vastly magnify climate change’s economic costs Rising heat puts the Kalahari’s ecosystem on the edge of survival (National Geographic): On the parched savanna of southern Africa, searing temperatures and crippling droughts threaten a delicate balance of life The revolutionary idea behind America’s urban trails (National Geographic): Pioneered more than a century ago by landscape architect Frederick Law Olmsted, greenways are nature-filled city hikes that point to the future Tree-Planting Pledges Fall Short of Climate Change Goals (Bloomberg): Many pitfalls can dampen the ambitions of those looking to green cities, especially when only a fraction of those trees mature, survive or even make it into the ground |
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Message boards :
climateprediction.net Science :
Climate change in the News
(Message 64238)
Posted 31 Jul 2021 by bozz4science Post: Brazil’s Water Crisis Adds to the World’s Supply-Chain Misery (Bloomberg): Drought is making one of Brazil’s most important river systems unnavigable, making it more challenging and costly for the commodities powerhouse to get grains and iron ore out to global markets What Is 'Rewilding' and How Can It Help Restore Our Planet's Biodiversity? (Global Citizen): Rewilding can help us become more attuned to the planet and the diverse species who call it home Aggressive tiger mosquitoes are spreading through Europe: How can we protect ourselves? (Euronews): Now mosquitoes are also becoming a mounting health concern in Europe, as the Asian tiger mosquito, an extremely invasive and disease-carrying species, proliferates across the continent. This is particularly worrisome to health authorities across the continent as this type of mosquito can carry serious diseases including dengue fever, Chikungunya, West Nile virus and Zika Health officials: Climate change threat to Michigan. But few make it priority (Bridge Michigan): Climate change is both an environmental crisis and a public health threat: Experts expect it to cause more heat illness, respiratory diseases, waterborne diseases, vector- borne diseases, and injury and carbon monoxide poisoning |
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Message boards :
climateprediction.net Science :
Nuclear fusion start-up backed by Jeff Bezos to build first reactor in UK
(Message 64237)
Posted 31 Jul 2021 by bozz4science Post: In the end we are all in this together. The sooner this technology gets from its infancy to real world deployment and will thereby help to decarbonize energy production, the better. Surely many unknowns are yet to be figured out. The safety issue, affordability, scalability, etc. |
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Message boards :
climateprediction.net Science :
Climate change in the News
(Message 64236)
Posted 31 Jul 2021 by bozz4science Post: Turkish fires sweeping through tourist areas are the hottest on record (The Guardian): Thousands of holidaymakers evacuated from Aegean Sea resorts as country fights more than 50 blazes Devastating, unprecedented wildfires in southern Europe could reignite, experts warn (The Independent): Italy, Greece and Spain have been fighting a catastrophic wildfire in the past few days Southeast Europe heat wave set to be among worst in decades (AP News) Climate Change Is Coming for the Great Barrier Reef (Bloomberg): If Australia continues to choose its coal industry over its coastline, dire consequences will become inevitable. The Great Barrier Reef—actually a mass of reefs that stretches 3,000 kilometers along the northeastern Queensland coastline—is important to Australia. Much-cited figures from a 2017 report by consulting firm Deloitte put the reef’s value at A$56 billion ($41.4 billion), supporting 64,000 jobs and adding A$6.4 billion to the economy each year. Biden Seeking Pledge for 40% of Car Sales to Be EV by 2030 (Bloomberg): The White House is negotiating to have automakers pledge that 40% or more of the vehicles they sell in the U.S. will be electric by the end of the decade The Western Drought Is a Crisis for Migrating Birds, Too (Bloomberg): For years, California rice farmers have aided bird migration by flooding their fields in the off season. But this year, they barely have enough water to grow their crops |
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Message boards :
climateprediction.net Science :
Climate change in the News
(Message 64230)
Posted 29 Jul 2021 by bozz4science Post: Several news I read this week Critical measures of global heating reaching tipping point, study finds (The Guardian): Carbon emissions, ocean acidification, Amazon clearing all hurtling toward new records ‘Climate change has become real’: extreme weather sinks prime US tourism site (The Guardian): At Lake Powell on the Arizona-Utah border, the water line has dropped to a historic low, taking a heavy toll on the local industry Toxic algae bloom on Florida's coast ravages marine life: "This is an absolute nightmare" (CBS News): Red tides do naturally occur off the coast of Florida — but scientists say they're now happening more frequently and humans are making them worse Warming Planet Means 83 Million Face Death From Heat This Century (Bloomberg): New study puts a cost on the mortality caused by climate change, which could lead to an increase in the price of carbon pollution Wildfire smoke blowing across the U.S. is more toxic than we thought (Bloomberg): Wildfires are threatening homes on the West Coast and in Canada, but their smoke is polluting air as far away as New York Climate change continues to be evident across UK (MET Office): The UK’s climate has continued to warm, with 2020 the first year to have temperature, rain and sunshine rankings all in the top 10 Ignoring climate change will yield 'untold suffering,' panel of 14,000 scientists warns (LiefeScience): A few big climate policies could change everything — but we have to act fast. The new paper, published July 28 in the journal BioScience and led by researchers from Oregon State University, is an update of a 2019 paper that declared a global "climate emergency" and evaluated Earth's vital signs based on 31 variables Earth Overshoot Day moves forward by nearly a month (DW): The COVID effect didn't last. Earth Overshoot Day, the day humanity exceeds its yearly allotment of the planet's biological assets, is nearly back to its record high. What can be done to ease the burden? Is Russia Finally Ready to Tackle Climate Change? (The Moscow Times): Although Russia has the largest potential capacity to generate wind and solar power in the world, those energy sources accounted for just 0.32% of its power grid in 2020. Even if the most ambitious of the current plans are implemented, the proportion of renewable energy (excluding hydroelectric energy) used in generating electricity in Russia will only reach 2–2.5% by 2035. Maybe some promising signs More Money Than Ever Is Flowing Into Climate Tech (Bloomberg): On Tuesday, two alternative asset managers—TPG and Brookfield—closed a combined $12.4 billion in climate investment funds. That’s more committed in one day than used to be raised in years. The question now is, where and how is that going to pay off? |
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Message boards :
climateprediction.net Science :
Nuclear fusion start-up backed by Jeff Bezos to build first reactor in UK
(Message 64224)
Posted 28 Jul 2021 by bozz4science Post: Helios Energy is said to build a pioneering fusion energy facility in Everett with the goal of building the world’s first commercial fusion power facility. Expected completion date: early 2022 (Seattle Times). Exciting news :) |
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Message boards :
climateprediction.net Science :
Climate change in the News
(Message 64222)
Posted 28 Jul 2021 by bozz4science Post: India Ditches Key Climate Meeting After Disrupting G-20 (Bloomberg) that was supposed to lay groundwork for a successful COP26 in only 3 months' time. (You got 3 free articles a month) |
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Message boards :
climateprediction.net Science :
Climate change in the News
(Message 64219)
Posted 27 Jul 2021 by bozz4science Post: Not exactly news, rather a great resource to further explore the topic. Global Climate Change: Vital Signs of the Planet Clicking on the dark grey banner at the bottom of the page leads to great dashboards offering visual insights into the various climate-related measurements. The Climate Time Machine provides an impressive picture time series for
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38)
Message boards :
climateprediction.net Science :
Nuclear fusion start-up backed by Jeff Bezos to build first reactor in UK
(Message 64218)
Posted 26 Jul 2021 by bozz4science Post: Thanks Jim for sharing! Looking forward to reading this tonight. |
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39)
Message boards :
climateprediction.net Science :
Nuclear fusion start-up backed by Jeff Bezos to build first reactor in UK
(Message 64210)
Posted 25 Jul 2021 by bozz4science Post: You're right Jim! ITER is a dinosaur but it also was never intended to produce energy in the first place: Although ITER itself will not produce electricity, DEMO - the device that will follow - will likely model a real future fusion power plant and produce electricity, with the goal of fusion electricity in the grid by 2050. See: Why the EU supports fusion research and innovation (European Commission) But research is slow and many roadblocks still lie ahead. That is why small business research grants are a key tool to drive innovation. The aforementioned/linked website provides a great overview of the broad palette of programs that the EU currently runs to advance our understanding of this technology. Here is another great look on how complex and diverse the current research landscape surrounding fusion technology is in Europe. This is taken from the Max Planck Institute for Plasma Physics: Fusion research in Europe. I don't know a lot about the cutting-edge research being done atm and what private companies are involved but private-public partnerships will likely play a huge role in the future to accelerate fusion technology research. Just know of a company called Marvel Fusion that is said to make large progress and is based near Munich, Germany. They were able to convince Prof. Siegfried Glenzer from Stanford to join the team not long ago who is one of the top experts in the field. |
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Message boards :
climateprediction.net Science :
Nuclear fusion start-up backed by Jeff Bezos to build first reactor in UK
(Message 64207)
Posted 23 Jul 2021 by bozz4science Post: The question I ask myself is how long it’ll take to fully research and comprehend fusion technology so that it will be ready for global scale deployment. And will this technology be safe to use before it is fully matured? One glimpse in our understanding or fusion reactor design could prove detrimental. And even more so, I do see this as a if not the major tool for clean and efficient energy, but we are in urgent need to act right now and start decarbonisation of industries, traffic and electricity generation. And a fusion reactor does not help matters now but only in a few years time... until then we’ll be forced to handle climate change with what we have. Meanwhile Europe is heavily investing in fusion technology research as well. |
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